wr275/

world-cup-2026-predictions-onside

Champion, finalist and stage-by-stage advancement probabilities for the 2026 FIFA World Cup, from Onside's 10,000-run Monte Carlo model. Refreshed as matches are played.

	Top contenders (21 Jun 2026, pre-knockouts)




	

team champion_pct reach_final_pct

France 12.6 20.7

Spain 11.7 19.7

England 11.1 19.1

Argentina 9.3 16.6

Portugal 7.7 14.3

Netherlands 7.1 13.5

Brazil 6.8 13.1

Belgium 5.5 10.8

No… See the full description on the dataset page: https://huggingface.co/datasets/wr275/world-cup-2026-predictions-onside.