1,215 yes/no forecasting questions generated from clusters of news articles in the GDELT 2.0 corpus (Aug 2025 – Apr 2026). Each question is paired with the original seed-event articles, top-5 retrieved evidence articles dated strictly before the question creation date, and a verified ground-truth answer.
Training and evaluating LLM-based forecasting models in a strict forecasting posture — the model sees only news that was publicly… See the full description on the dataset page:
https://huggingface.co/datasets/rajatagarwal457/gdelt-forecast-binary.
