FULL rrxor results (seed 42, 1e6 steps): N1 CAUSAL PATCHING HEADLINE — belief clamp shifts k-step predictions toward donor (+0.03-0.04, CI>0, all k) but LESS than rank+norm-matched random control (belief-minus-matched CI<0 everywhere incl. same-suffix strata): controlled null, probe basis not load-bearing. Repro: beyond-next-token reproduced (belief-dist R2 0.67 vs next-token 0.14), concat 0.75 > final-layer 0.56, heldout-beliefs -1.58, loss… See the full description on the dataset page:
https://huggingface.co/datasets/latkes/belief-state-probes-results-rrxor-v1.
